Interested in Yellen at Janet?

First off let me start by quoting myself...“after this Wednesday, gold will be skyrocketing”, overnight we finally saw the 1% jump in gold, 2% in silver, platinum 0.5% even palladium rose 0.4%. This is just the beginning. Other commodities rose as well with the capital rushing back in, as the USD weakened. The FED announced that they will not raise interest rates, knowing how unstable the economy is. With the focus on the Asian and European market, Britain's FTSE 100, Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40, showed the USD weaken quickly.

Traders and investors are afraid that Janet Yellen’s will take the views of her predecessors, Alan Greenspan or Ben Bernanke regarding her decisions about monetary policies, which will lead to market volatility as it has before. We can blame this meeting and low interest rates all we want, but Janet is not the only reason we are seeing the market move like this. I feel that people are hypersensitive right now, a lot is happening between ISIS, Japan, Ebola, etc. The world news is pumping us all up to panic, causing the market to act unstable and unpredictable.

The USD continues to drop right after Janet’s announcement, but also after a release came out from a meeting the FED had in September that stated, how if the dollar rises it could very well have a severely negative “impact on the fragile U.S. recovery”. When the FED states that they are worried about a strong USD, you can bet its going to weaken. When this happens, these decisions are made knowing well what will happen and what is happening now, you have to ask yourself why?  What are the true intentions?  This is when you have to look at all of it from new and sometimes odd perspectives.

Higher inflation is on the rise, it is important to get your positions correct and hedged accordingly.  If you have never traded metals now is the time to start, throughout history it has maintained purchasing power, and is a solid investment.

Positions:Long GLD June 19th, 2015 114.00 calls. Paid $6.80, currently $8.20, with a gain of +20.5%
Buy Gold $1191.50, Currently at $1223.20 for a gain of 2.66%

Oil for Thought

Positions:Long GLD June 19th, 2015 114.00 calls. Paid $6.80, currently $7.30, with a gain of +7.35%
Buy Gold $1191.50, Currently at $1210.20 for a gain of 1.57%

 In 1966 the central banks had 14 billion in U.S. dollars, the USD was bound to the gold standard so with only 3 billion in gold to cover the foreign holdings, it just wasn’t enough. When Nixon declared to “defend the dollar” he removed the USD from the gold slandered in 1971, and the USD became a debt based policy. He claimed he did this for monetary stability.

In 1973 he had secret meetings with the head of Saudi Arabia, and created a deal called The U.S.-Saudi Arabian Joint Commission for Economic Cooperation (JECOR) this stated that with a few exceptions, Saudi Arabia would sell oil in only U.S. dollars. Then invest the rest they made into the U.S. treasury markets, that way the IMF could give loans to other oil importers. The petrodollar recycling system, Saudi Arabia would only buy/sell oil in us dollars, this was presented as a buffer to the rising oil prices. The U.S. monetary restraints were removed now they could increase money at will, Fractional reserve banking was taking place.

Currency is everything to the powers that be, we see a major pattern within the governments and individuals who control the markets. Like gold, fossil fuels are limited and have been a billion dollar investment for major corporations worth killing for, even starting a war over. The main reason for going to war is challenging the USD, it’s the only thing our government sees as a true threat, we would love to belive its for the good of the nation or we are helping “them”, all the bogus reasons they state. As long as we need fossil fuels, and its sold in USD there will be a demand for the USD, America will do anything to keep it this way.

In a 1994 an interview with Dick Cheney, he is asked what will happen if the US invades Iraq, he actually lists off country by country how they would be affected if we  invaded Iraq. Scary thing is, it is happening in the present day, since we went to war with Iraq, he goes down a list of countries and groups that then would be in power, how the direct events would take place and end with Iran. The same Iran that we accused of making or having a nuclear weapons except they didn’t, even stated that they had no intention of doing so. Since 2004 Iran has been organizing their very own oil market and it wasn’t going to have any ties to the USD.

No surprise the government knew exactly what would unfold, the risk of the nations and lives that would be massacred, the money and military that would be expunged. I have stated before, I feel like these threats of terrorists and disease are extremely convenient, that all of the places these “events” are taking place, are in regions that we want access to, or need to gain control over. You may think to yourself, our government wouldn’t risk so many things for money and power, or oil. Oh but they are,  the Iraq war we campaigned for was primarily a result of Saddam Hussein switching the oil sold in USD to Euros. This of course is information that the American people were left in the dark about, even though this was the biggest geopolitical move of the nation.

Lets put it all together, Dick Chaney was also member of Project for a New American Century, they released a strategy called rebuilding Americas defenses, Strategy Forces and Resources for a new century. A way to expand the U.S. dominance worldwide, with major funding for the military spending. This stated that enforcing this would take years to achieve, “absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event similar to a new Perl Harbor”. Then 911 took place one year later. TA-DA, a new Pearl Harbor. We were able to invade and even impose the patriot act, without any resistance. While using terrorists as an excuse, weapons of mass destruction was a way in, a way that the people saw as justification. We know North Korea has weapons of mass destruction, you do not see us invading them.

As soon as we gained control over Iraq, the oil went back into USD.

Keeping up with the Keynesians

Positions:Long GLD June 19th, 2015 114.00 calls. Paid $6.80, currently $7.20, with a gain of +5.9%
Buy Gold $1191.50, Currently at $1207.60 for a gain of 1.3%

October is said to be the most frightening of all months, not just for costumes and Halloween, fear fest, etc. October is frightening most of all for traders, this is the month when the market has crashed in the past, including in 1927, 1987 and 2008. It’s no secret that this time of year is a tricky one (no pun intended), many past reports show even with the decline of S&P and large-cap index companies, it also shows October to be one of the best performing with returns at 10.9%. Personally, I don’t see the month having as much to do with the fear in the market as what is taking place in the geopolitical and global economic realm.

            I feel redundant saying it again, but now that the economic data is out, I can finally stop preaching about how the dollar is weak. The previous reports were wrong, the USD along with our economy is on the brink of collapse. Many people have lost so much faith and respect in the USD, that eventually they will turn to a greater currency. Could Harry Dent be accurate when he invested in Australia the way he has, will that be the better economy to live and invest in? Keynesian economics is dead and gone, now if they could print out deeds, we would at least have some collateral instead of just a mountain of debt. Even then, we would be entrapped in mortgages. There really is no room for growth at this point, we as a nation are tapped out due to the depletion of cheap energy, and an array of greedy puppet masters fueling the people and the market with blatant lies.

QE isn’t going to end just yet, not with the negative interest rates in the Euro and its uncertainty with investors, not to mention the bail-outs. The USD is only the lesser in all the evils, not truly a safe haven for foreign investors, it is just has the illusion it is. The capital we had from the colonial era is gone and we have piggybacked on societies’ that had our “new” technologies and ideas. With the huge entitlement outlays to fund, the U.S. will have to keep borrowing and printing, creating more and more debt.

Maybe I could have been spot on with my prediction that the manipulated rise of the dollar was to bring down the price in gold. It would be interesting to see how much bullion JP Morgan is hoarding along with the other owners of the economy. With the “revised” corrected data out on the housing and economics of the U.S, I am shocked to see just a small change in PM’s I would have thought that gold would be skyrocketing with the information released. 

Did I mention the COMEX manipulation? Let’s touch a little on that, traders are to believe that technical analysis and PMs is totally out. It’s not, just learn from the manipulators, they know what traders will do. It’s like getting into the mind of the puppet masters, Central Banks, the FED, etc. Volatility in the market is high in October with record fluctuations happening even higher. Singapore’s holiday and the Chinese market being closed for a week have affected the slow rise in PMs, however when it opens Wednesday and the new SGE reports come in, my prediction in gold skyrocketing has just begun.  

"All the perplexities, confusion and distresses in America arise not from defects in the constitution…, as much from downright ignorance of the nature of coin, credit, and circulation" — John Adams, August 25, 1787.

New Position "The Age of Gold"

We had a fantastic run for eight weeks holding short at $1309.88 when closed at $1191.50 with a gain of 9% My new position stands, GLD June. 19,2015 calls strike 114.00, price $6.60 bought long.

Lets get Phyiscal, Phyiscal

Strange days are now upon us… In January, physical bullion sales were astronomical and it was affordable for the most part the buyers were excited for the rise of the numbers. Now with the USD strong why are we seeing the same pattern, gold is dropping in value, yet buyers are fanatically buying the physical bullion up. In fact, more physical gold was sold in September than in October of 2013. Despite the current luxury tax, China and India are back buying the physical bullion. Reports show high demand of a 30% increase, possibly due to the current holiday in China and festival in India that is about to take place. Manipulation of the markets may be taking place by common interests and this is said to be a general rule to move the market in a direction that is beneficial to the parties involved. I say this because the buying power of gold shows strength, yet the price is decreasing daily. This is really only with the USD, if you look at other currencies you do not see the price of gold as low, worldwide the price and demand for physical gold is still very strong. If you look at the weekly reports from SGE vaults, they withdrew 50.3 tonnes in week 38, the demand is that high. Silver in London is declining while Shanhi (WPSE) leveled out without decline at SHFE, SGE vs. COMEX. What reports you compare determines the information you receive, reports like OTC tend to lag and COMEX can only give us so much. Seems that the world Gold Counsel would like us to think that the gold demand is low. Just like the U.S. government would like us to believe the USD is strong and that we’re not in a recession let alone a depression. Gold and metal trading has kept many traders afloat in times of uncertainty. If you are not yet trading metals, now is the time to start. Finally coming to an end of a good run, the position from 1309.88, now closed at 1191.50 with a gain of 9%. Cheers Friends.

USD a R rated feature

In 1985, the dollar was strong and the economy and equity markets were how they say, “booming” They did this with all the higher interest rates enforced by the FED, then again in 2000. These were the times the dollar compared to right now, yet the USD is still 30% weaker than in “85’ and 20% weaker than in 2000. So how is the USD soaring above all these other currencies? We as investors want to look at the Purchasing Power Parity value or (PPP) that is just what Scott Gannis did when he wrote the article “The Return of King Dollar” he decided to compare five different currencies to the USD, in this form he states… “PPP theory holds that, over time, currencies move vis a vis others in a way that reflects changes in relative prices between countries. Currencies that depreciate against others typically have higher inflation rates, and currencies that appreciate have lower inflation. For each currency, I have picked a base year in which I thought that prices were in rough equilibrium, and then adjusted that value over time for changes in relative inflation rates. The current PPP value of each currency is therefore approximately equal to the exchange rate that would produce roughly equal prices for a given basket of goods and services in each country.” He goes on to show graphs that use a basket of goods (commodities) with each currency and used inflation information for charts from the U.S., the PCE deflator; for Australia, the CPI All Groups Goods Component; for Canada, the CPI; for the Eurozone, the German CPI; for Japan, the CPI Nationwide General; for the UK, the RPI less Mortgage Interest Payments. No shock the USD lost major value against all. So what is really moving the market? CNN put out a “Fear and Greed index” I mean truly they did! I find it amusing that how this can be measured, short fear, long fear? Sure why not. Investors should be terrified right now. Fear, as I have said before plays into why the reality of why the USD is weak, the traders ever looming fear of the market collapse. The true reality that the USD is a reserve currency and will have to handle the EUR’s deflation. The present investment demand from china is low, as well as need for oil. We see that commodities are decreasing all over the market. Leverage is at a all time high. In fact right now the market looks like a horror movie “Soul of Dudley” and just wait the sequel is coming soon, Blockbuster hit “were F@$#ED” Ethics in the U.S. are separated by law apparently. Holding short at 1309.88 current price 1214 with a gain of 7.3% Fxmade2trade

Keep it on the LOW, LOW

Most traders think the market will turn around if they hold on to their positions. For the most part, they are correct and successful at doing so. Traders do have a technique; they have a strategy and rely on all kinds of information, trends, and data, fundamentals a trader will preach. You can waste days, even years reading traders tips, and articles. These are all opinions; you cannot predict environmental or political changes. You could follow the scripted rules of trading such as. “Keep the money and the trades moving, find a strategy and stick to it,buy low, sell high, and my personal favorite, rule number one, make money, rule number two repeat number one”. Most trading information is just peoples ideas of what will happen, and charts are only a small part of the art form that is trading. Right now, the metals market is volatile and bearish and trending downward, silver had hit its lowest in four years. Is it an oversold market? Is it the suppression by the central bankers? Volume is shifting the market and playing a major role in all of this. Looking at the charts, there seems to be no indication change is in sight for metals. Even looking at a sixty-minute chart, where you can see the fist indication of any movement, none is in sight. My thoughts are timing truly is everything, let us say you have the ability to move the market, and not really play by the Comex rules. We know certain times of the day traders are much more active. 11 am is the highest; the lowest is around 5 pm East Coast time. The lowest time is when less people trading, so it takes less volume to move the market. Looking at volume should be key to making your move. Volume can indicate the hidden agenda of the “rule breakers” they may be playing on something we do not see. The public will react to the volume change. Humans they know are surprisingly predictable, you can bet the billions of dollars spent yearly on the psychology and sociology of marketing teams will guide those major players’ trades. They are not just trading in the market they are trading the conformity of human nature not. As a trader, you need to look at all the information out there differently. Say you are an art critic, a chart would be an abstract painting anyone could interpret it in so many ways, seeing all the different aspects and beauty in the way it looks. However, “market activity” is what it is, it does not lie, that is a huge indicator on what move to make. Volume con be controlled to an extent, for instance, we do not see the low in gold that we do in silver. Indicating the buyers are refusing to let the sellers take it lower, you can see this by looking at the volume. This is only some information; let us not get ahead of ourselves by believing that the downward trend is at an end. All this shows is the buyers won this round. Holding short at 1309.88 current price 1217, with a gain of 7% Fxmade2trade

Don't trim the HEDGE too close America

Could it be real yields, interest rates, and crude oil, have less to do with the gold than is believed. Gold as a hedge with inflation? The gold price chart varies year to year compared to all sorts of inflation data and seems completely random in the patterns. What moves Gold? Gold is much more appealing when the price is high and seems to be a major “time trend” so along with all the coloration's and charts people put above their own personal strategy, are they looking at the bigger picture. Most think gold is the most unproductive asset one could hold. Could it be that gold is just valuable because people “think” it to be? That people just want to value something, anything, might as well be gold. Could it be that it truly is a natural limited resource, that will again up, way past $2000 oz. in late 2015? When paper money and bonds and futures all fall gold is a physical asset that has been used for thousands of years worldwide. Well I will buy into the idea that the dollar will fall, and possibly the U.S. collapses completely, so I guess I am buying into American human nature and the workforce failing, with no faith in the U.S. government at all, call me a cynic if you want. We only own 5% of all the global gold reserves and it baffles me that our monetary policies are the fuel to the worldwide price. When the over saturation of paper gold get's torn to pieces you better hold on to your physical metals and keep bulling on my friends, looking ahead of course. Holding short at 1309.88, Current price 1221 a gain of 6.7%