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Are you well diversified? Is your savings all in USD or spread across multiple types of assets, but still based in USD? If it is, you are still not what we consider ultimately hedged, as in hedged into other nations currencies which are backed by their allocations, production, resources and politics. We believe the best way to be hedged to to be spread across the 8 most respected western currencies. Those being the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc, Euro dollar, Great British pound, Japanese yen, New Zealand dollar and United States dollar. Rotating among these with a slight edge producing a gain above equilibrium.

This strategy uses the same free floating cash approach as all large banks, but with the tactical advantage of intermittent currency exposure utilizing a probable edge.

Think of this system as exactly the same as holding cash in a bank account, but with the ability to use leverage, letting trades sit until hitting either a Target, Stop or direction reversed. This strategy is extremely diversified and as such, is not subject to over weighted moves due to all your cash being held in a single currency bank account.

The goal of the system is to minimize the volatility associated with a traditional cash bank account. Substituting single currency volatility and buying power decay, with account stability and growth.

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Showing posts with label forex market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forex market. Show all posts

Friday, May 15, 2015

Blind to the truth and naive to the threat.



The generations now and to come have evolved differently than ever before, they have adapted to the new technological super powers. Adults commonly ask their kids how to set up the DVD player, or fix the computer, add applications to their phone. The children who were born in this digital age are immune to the process of information, or what it took for so many to research a story or find information and learn or find the real story being told, the truth. Teacher’s friends and family is how and where we got answers to our questions growing up, and the answers could vary, the views bias and limited. The World Wide Web changed so much and quickly, adults and kids know the web and know just how to use it. Through trial and error along with lessons and guidance, most children have realized that not everything you see or read is true. The facts may not be how it is portrayed to the public or it could be blatantly inaccurate. They may have learned this from utube or watching a puppy fly though space while playing the banjo even Google by asking the web if eating road kill is good for you. They make the fatal mistake and show or tell someone “yes eating road kill makes you grow extra arms…then they are corrected and realize there are different answers that come up depending on who write it. It sinks in and they become aware all truth told may not be reality.
This enforces the key that makes us all unique… free will, our choice. We have a choice to believe what we are being told. This was something the powers that be predicted and this is how and why they are literally brain washing us through our subconscious. Since the beginning of time, we have been lied to by the “storytellers” lies on top of lies. Who was the first man in America, the world was flat, human sacrifice made the sun shine, credit is good, marijuana is bad, cigarettes, and liquors are good, etc. We at least know through modern technology the next generations will have a chance to experience real and true history, information that will shape them give them empathy through knowledge, not create the sheep so many have been thus far. This is of course if they make it past the many distractions produced that heavy detract from the path to enlightenment of true reality.
 The unknown, our imagination, creativity, fantasy, the extraordinary capabilities of the mind. Our mind is so powerful we have such a complex thought process fueled by hormones and the love of western medicine. Many marketing specialists and behavior analysts, doctors, scientist’s ands researchers have perfected playing into our fears, wants and needs or at least what we think we need. Our primal instincts, our responses, our necessities, and desires have been under attack though our own fear. Fear of threats to family, self, and home, our self-concept questioned induced by fear and intrigue as to what could be. Our human nature, our true thought process analyzed and TPTB preying on this. Media has created villains out of races, countries, cities, even stereotypes in people. This false threat and fear has shaped societies for thousands of centuries. We see it all over in history from the Mayans to Genghis Khan, as far back as c. 515 BC that we know of, “The Rise of Darius to The Persian Throne”, then “The Arthashasta” c.350-283 BC, and of course, the Romains used it c.59 BC - 17 AD, repeatedly. Now we have stars and icons to obsess over or try to be like, unrealistic lifestyles of the one percent. Movie stars that had/have more influence over the public opinions than most politicians or professors do in America, and may I add, get paid much more. 
We the nation… is completely media run and undereducated historically, even with all the new things to learn and accessibility, ideocrassy is the new normal and denial is a common trend in the US. History and economics, the global finances, how things are bought and sold, etc. Many people do not even know what is going on and never will, what sanctions America has put on Iran or Russia, or many other countries we are involved with politically and financially. It is not “entertaining” to know who we trade with or what will happen when Obama pushes through the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or if they do, it is because they saw it on “E” or some mid-day talk show, just because it was a wiki leak. 
I am always shocked to hear news casters blabbing about what is to come or focusing on the opposite way the market is moving, padding the pockets of TPTB. Everyone is titled to their own ideas and opinions in the US, right! Freedom! yet we are kept blind and distracted by media and some other catastrophe that detours the true threat from the masses. The public so naive in the belief that America has our best interest at heart and just because the facts show how wrong that statement is, the belief is everything will be alright. Because our government would never let it happen (said in a flamboyantly sarcastic tone), they would never do the unimaginable. 
Blind to the truth and naive to the threat. 
I cannot stand election year, listening to the pointless lies told by candidates fueled by power and money funded by expectations and greed. You may choose not to listen to it, not to vote, it is a choice. They say every vote counts, but I do not believe they even count the votes it is all predetermined. The powers that be (TPTB) the big Banker clan runs the government, so whoever big business wants to represent their ideals and choices is who will be represented as our leader. It is a shame; I still do not think everyone even realizes that government controls the news and Hollywood, all stations owned by six corporations. We have supreme power as individuals in our newly developed android state of existence. The SiFi movies and books from our past would have had you believe the twentieth century would have brought people driving freely from planet to planet in our space cars while teleporting our friends over. Perhaps robots would be our house cleaners, drivers and workers, a world would run by robots, all there to serve us, and make life better. People were afraid of jobs being taken away by robots replacing so many people. They should have been afraid of free trade. Then the benefits, robots fighting our wars and keeping our planet and humanity safe and clean. It is the twentith century now and we do we have robots and computers they are doing it all fighting with drones and cleaning our planet. Now most of all humans have become androids without an external robot. 
Everyone you know has a smart phone, it has become a true extension of our body and thoughts, giving us super-human powers and abilities like never before, and it even comes with applications that will consistently advance the droid in them. The access to information and power to learn now can be limitless. Having this kind of resource at your fingertips gives us an unimaginable advantage, it not only makes your life easier it gives us a way to learn what you want when you want. Most people will never take full advantage dipping into the abyss of information, the layers of networks, understand the programming involved or what engineering it takes to rapidly grow in this informative black hole. Amazing and life changing advancements have come from exploration in this digital world by some of the best minds in existence. Easy enough for anyone to learn to explore on it gives you the ability to learn at your pace. Imagine what its like for a baby or child introduced to it. The young brain growing and it learning how to teach, it evolving while their mind like a sponge soaking the liquid information up. We have not even learned what the mind is capable of or what results this new technology will have on a developing mind. Up until 1920 we did not even see infant children as humans, while Watson tested and electrocuted baby Albert to if they really felt pain and emotion. Now we know that babies can learn while in the womb. Knowledge is power. The power this vast amount of information provides and can give children is beautiful and somehow terrifying all in one. Information we learn throughout childhood shapes us as adults, information leads to the decisions you will make in life, rights and wrongs your ethics and morals. Those choices are influenced by what information is available, and where it’s coming from and how you receive it. All we know as humans is what we are taught; humankind is easily manipulated and prone to conform, our primal instincts though diluted by society remain in the sense to follow or lead. Between men and women, fighting for the lead and BPA and overly consumed soy pumping estrogen into us the leadership position is undesirable. Keeping the masses passive is beneficial for the shepherds, this way the public does not see the true grim reality that we are living in and facing.
  People keep stating that we are going back to the cold war, that Russia and China will create WW3. I have even fantasized the outline of it, the corruption in waging war with Iran and blaming Russia or China in the US fight for the petrodollar, convent a war in Yemen or an oil line bombing…yet, I feel that we have been in WW3 for some time now. It is a currency war, a war for the reserve currency and petrodollar, and we are losing. This is the first administration to prioritize immigration and non-working heath care over the blatant threats and geo political acts of war that are threatening us now, we are losing allies and all hope for what once was the American dream, as we stand by and witness this administrations wiping away our rights and giving our money away, creating slaves for the one percent.
Clinton was at least very concerned when Putin started building the underground bunkers in 2012 Moscow alone built over 5,000 nuclear bomb shelters and now Putin has built a 400 square mile shelter in the Southern Ural Mountains hidden inside the Yamantu Mountain in the Beloretsk region. It is approximately as big as Washington DC’s beltway, along with the food he has planned for his people and has been paying to guarantee that his people will be safe well fed and protected the facilities that could house most of Russia for years in comfort. The US has nothing like that, we do not have thousands of bomb shelters and foods for our people we do not even have food for our people, there is no exit strategy for the public. It is so sad because we the people are paying for the privet bunkers of one percent. I guess they assume we will all just die, a form of population control, perhaps.
 Lack of outdated weapons owned by Russia is a thing of the past. Putin created a new national defense facility in Moscow developing new anti-ballistic missiles to keep the nuclear missiles from reaching them in the first place it was said to be completed in 2017 but it is said to be active now. Again, the US has nothing like that in 1996 the Russian denied any existence of the bunkers and kept building despite the end of the cold war. In a rare interview in 1998 General Eugene Harbinger at the time he was the commander of the US strategic command (STRATCOM) said it was bigger than they thought it’s estimated to be millions of square feet, with a railroad and highway built to it, tens of thousands of workers have been working on it for years now. The US then saw this area along with China as a “”potential key target for US nuclear war planners stated in a Washington post article by Bruce G. Blair. Clinton at least saw that it is as a major issue. Russians do not love the US it is said as of today approximately 81% of Russians have a negative view towards the US, and now Obama’s interference with Ukraine has made it much worse. The house of representatives urged Obama to send lethal aid after stating that he would send non-lethal aid, however, the only way Obama would send lethal aid to Ukraine was if they issued a sovereign debt with US guarantee making it essentially part of the US the same thing he did in Egypt with the Muslim brotherhood that caused a (to put it nicely) a rift with our one ally Saudi Arabia. I cannot think of a past US president that would let other countries ostracize America the way it is now, or hate us the way they do. No other leader would let china the second largest economy open up the AIIB and invite all countries but two (we supposedly declined) or let Putin make deals for major changes with china India and Pakistan, even Saudi Arabia is selling gas to Russia and China in Yuan not the USD . When bush was in office, it was assumed he was not really making any decisions for himself. It did not matter who ever was making the decisions, they were the ones to fear, and countries did they feared us. We were the leader and the treat there security, ally and enemy all the same. It was understood Bush is goofy or just dumb nature was not what they needed to worry about, but at least they worried. The other counties respected him to some degree, unlike our current situation. Obama is about to make our final and biggest mistake with the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) it will make what Clinton did with free trade look like a May fair. I do question the whole thing because china wants no part in the TPP, and that is note worthy
 Clinton who I was all for, despite him being a corporatist, sabotaged us with the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) a trilateral trade block between Mexico, the US and Canada this was the first countries involved with the free trade agreement. If you don’t really know exactly what NAFTA is let me explain, NAFTA consists of the North American Agreement on Environmental cooperation (NAAEC) and the North American Agreement on Labor Cooperation (NAALC) this created the worlds largest free trade zone. Opening countries up to the flow of goods and services sounded so appealing, created production added different factor endowments and absolute advantage with the countries that could produce goods or services on a large scale or that had natural resources. Lower costs of production and cheaper resources also gave advantages and created an outsourcing of jobs. This was in 1994 since then the US economy has lost around 700,000 jobs due to NAFTA, according to the Economic Policy Institute EPI said in 2011 that trade to Mexico supported 791,000 and the jobs we would have needed without the NAFTA agreement would have been 1.47 million. Still today, billions of US dollars and jobs are lost to NAFTA. Yet, other counties saw huge benefits from NAFTA and in 2010; the growth of Mexican auto imports alone surpassed what they ever estimated, just to put it in perspective, it created more Mexican jobs than the entire US auto industry. Sine 1985 the US has free trade with over twenty countries as of now. Since it worked out so well the Obama administration negotiated the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TTP). We the little people only even know about it because of the wiki leak. Obama did not do it under the Department of State; he went straight to the trade representative Ron Kirk. This was the way to use “fast track authority” Congress is supposed to review, modify and treat it like a legislation and end with a two-thirds vote. Instead, it will have to be a yes or no vote, with minimal tame frame and a majority rule. This really will strip the US of any chance we had of real economic growth, true supply and demand, America will never be able to be what it once was. This gives investor privileges a whole new meaning. The right to move capital without any limits, and it covers way more goods and services extending to, intellectual property, permits, and derivatives. It banned any performance rights, and foreign firms would get compensation for loss of “future profits”. Most of all special guaranteed treatment for firms that relocate. The issues with medicine and patenting rights cancel out all hope for generic affordable pharmaceuticals so who cares about “free” healthcare if you cannot afford the solution. This would allow them to overrule our sovereignty adding US laws to foreign countries is completely unconstitutional.
I dream that our leaders know history and could embrace the fascinating and powerful counties together and could see each other with a heart and soul, empathetic to suffering and pain. They seem so human in their “tweets” (eye roll) so many have been praised by the public. Putin has been praised as being very likable, even funny and handsome, even japans prime minister is thought of as warm and kind, Obama funny and charismatic. I am sure social media plays a big part in humanizing the leaders, making them more likeable and relatable as the tweet there thoughts. Putin and has positioned himself out of necessity and frustration with sanctions by the US. He has looked to his neighbor china that has a quite similar past. XI Jin Ping signed a ten-year contract with Russia to build a 7,000-kilometer high-speed rail ink from Beijing to Moscow. It will be expanded across Europe and Asia, this is a big deal not only for the ten year partnership with China but the new Asia Infrastructure Investment bank (AIIB) that is taking place isolating the west. China is creating economic insurance with India, Pakistan, and Russia along with all others except The US, Japan, and North Korea. These moves taking place have to be aligned with something bigger. The US has to be up to something, a grand plan, would we really risk nationalization of a new currency at China’s control? Or let the Petro-Yuan take us out? I mean we have to know the end game…Right.
I would love to believe that these countries are as fed up with the US as I am. Sick of listening to the lies and barrage of underlying manipulation by TPTB. Other counties are tired of dealing with the mean parent America has become. We cannot mind our own business we keep popping up where we do not belong issuing sanctions and controls, at a whim. They have to be fed up, now that the revered America is being seen for what it is debt based and full of holes with a drowning economy and no hope in sight. The US was seen as a security for other countries inspiring to follow our lead, our freedom and rights the love of the people, and a government with a goal to make things better for each person, a financial system that saves your money and enhances your life insurance for your children’s children.
 I feel like I am at the end of wizard of OZ, American people represented by a loyal Dorothy, with values and hope searching for answers from OZ. OZ our leader a godlike entity, full of the answerers we are searching for. Searching for OZ to lead us and guide us, then you pull the Curtin back and all is revealed, TA DA its Gilbert Gottfried or even Rosanne Barr, and OZ is seen for what it is just a greedy human playing us all. Good witch as Elizabeth Warren and the bad witch Janette Yellen trying to actively screw over along our yellow credit fiat road we call. OZ does not care and when considering America is bankrupt in a pit of unplayable debt our OZ created for our children to inherit. The US government has pledged National parks and lands for the debt they create right to the FED. My land your land, non-profit organizations; federal territories, even birth certificates of people who will inherit wealth, all given to the Federal Reserve. The hypothecated assets pledged truly mean they can pledge something as a security without holding it. Roosevelt was declared bankrupt and insolvent in 1933 and created the Emerging Bankrupt Act, the beginning of the monetary fund. This is exactly what has led us to the massive debt were in today and always have been since 1933. When they removed the gold standard, things changed. The hypothecated pledge is based on what is called a Canon law Trust. It is protected by the Constitution and bill of rights and still used by international bankers today. This is a transfer of unplayable debt, and gives the sauvignon too much power, for they already own so much it is just leverage to them. Nothing like this ever took place until the Federal Reserve Act in 1913. It gave the people security at first, gold and silver were such a powerful currency, but heavy and an unmanageable daily, it was an awful inconvenience to store or carry such metals. The FED bears the risk lending or trading and you hold interest and principle payments by issuing a claim check that was “like gold or silver” so they created slips of paper. So now, you give real assets to The Federal Reserve (FED) and they give you Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs). FRNs were made to create debt through the devaluation of currency by the increase in fiat (money substitute). Without a corresponding increase of a true backing, the FRNs cause inflation. The FED is maritime lender/maritime insurance underwriter, or what I consider a loan shark, they take your assets and give you a piece of paper till you can pay the real unplayable debt back. If we only knew…They never cared about the debt the interest was enough. It was all a trick a power game and FED is still winning. You cant pay back the FRNs with FRNs, no paying debt with debt but as long as you paid the interest there was no stipulation on the principle, because the Federal Reserve Act stipulated all interest must be paid in gold.
We were set up to fail, who knows what our amazing, all for the people, freedom, and rights, blah blah blah government really is doing. Who knows just what they have pledged we know some but we do not know much. We are now just economic slave a nation built with blood and formed by lies and greed, pledging dedication and then turning its back. Photos and social media have humanized other cultures and acceptance and empathy makes it all less scary not so distant and unnatural, it gives new support for what was once feared .This has brought our world closer. A need for each other together, learning the whole story not half-truths that are rewritten time and again. Can we come together and fight a real war like global warming or famine drought? The answer is no because as much as I would love to believe we can have peace, greed trumps all.

Friday, April 24, 2015

Jingoistic Jingoism's

Media Bred Eugenics, Part 2

One can become consumed watching the News and world events unfold in this bizarre new world.  We are witnessing change on a grand scale and evolution in every aspect at a historic rate.  Evolution is a strange thing; I am not speaking in terms of Darwinism the conventional form of evolution such as, over time living organisms develop.  I am speaking of evolution chemically, scientifically, mathematically and technically the evolving patterns and changing maneuvers. The general need and sense for development and change.  Even the most skeptic of Darwin has witnessed his theories playing out through time, “survival of the fittest” or the “natural selection”, if his theories are accurate we at some point will have to encounter a “test” the test of all tests some may survive others will not.  
     We are developing our minds, all of us, we are learning at a rapid rate.  A new born babies brain triples in size the first two years of life and continues growing till about age twenty. Keep in mind all the cells and neurons we will ever need in our lifetime are already there, the growth comes from the connections or synapses between the cells.  We are adapting and learning in our new habitat of technology and media.  Billions of dollars are spent on figuring out the best way to learn and how we can learn more, faster a superior way to learn.  Media has been a great way for information to be received by the masses.  With all the information, we now have on our brain and the hundreds of years spent researching the mind had paid off. No other time than right now has our new discoveries opened so many doors to development and research on our behavior and emotion.  Knowing just what information changes our behavior, emotion or action, is the research that is so interesting and profitable. The media has been a great way to change all, so great we do not even know they are changing us..   
When I see the Greek problems playing out wondering to myself how America would let them make alliances with Russia and the scenario of a war with Turkey, or something involving NATO perhaps ISIS invading around Greece that brings in NATO somehow.  Then I see Obama with the new and young influential Italian Prime Minister avoiding some questions and topics altogether.  I question why?  Is the US showing and proving we that have at least one allies left?  When Russia and China appear to be cutting the US off and out of the loop completely, and us with the fear of nationalizing a new currency cutting off the worlds reserve the USD, then we see news on the pacific trade open up, or how great an investment in the Shanghai exchange would boost anyone’s portfolio.  On the other hand, is the Federal Reserve so broke that they are making bets on the volatility of the Shanghais market?
 We know what they are feeding us; it is just what we will bite on that is being bet on.  Is perception of what is being shown us the key?
The 9/11 war on terror brought new ways to instill fear in every household thanks to the media (not to mention ways to infiltrate and control the masses with an express pass to enforce our “patriot act”.)  To add some extra panic they include a scale that would show the level of terrorism risk day to day in a color system so even kids could keep up, broadcasting every second along with every horror experienced.  Whatever theory you believe it is most likely true or a part of the truth behind the reason or conspiracy, as to just what exactly took place on 9/11, if you read my past work, you know where I stand.  The aftermath of the “event” (attack? Not so much) was just as traumatic then as it is today.  What it has done to this country, is irreparable.  It caused stereotypes and hatred with Arab Americans and mistrust among innocent groups.  It created fear of the unknown the “what if” and this fear opened doors for the FBI, CIA, and NYPD to allow and enforce blatant stereotyping and discrimination against the Muslim community. Fear of the Unknown, and the “what if” factor. This fear and anti-Muslim behavior, violence and mistrust forced many people to give up their faith, fear of being profiled, or segregated as a Muslim extremist.  Mosques were burned, families beaten and murdered. This was not the first time fear was used to paralyze our thoughts and control our emotions, and it wont be the last. While Americans mourned and panicked staying indoors, glued to the news, afraid to fly or go to the local store. The reality is, Americans are one hundred times more likely to die from a homicide, than a terrorist attack, or even more likely to get killed by our own  cities police unit, than a Muslim terrorist.  While terror struck the nation through media, the authorities fueled the fear and rewrote laws while the masses were too afraid to second-guess our great country.  Media drained all it could out of the tragedy and pain. The majorities of the American people are not familiar with eastern history , let alone ours. People knew little about the Middle East or Arab groups, the religion or countries.  This was a pre. Smart phone time,  most people still assumed and believed all the media and myths on our trusted news networks, believing they are true and non biased with real factual information, not just to push the market for a common interest.


  The news and our government keeps pushing us to be more divided, less communal, in turn, less powerful as a group.
Once upon a time (1983) our news media  was controlled by approximately fifty different corporations. Today it is a  private interest owned, by only six corporations. These six are powerful corporations, they do not just own the news or media they own production studios, television networks, newspapers, magazines, movie studios, anything from web sites to music labels. They have control over it all these huge six entities are not just rich beyond belief they are selling a priceless item… control. People pay for control. Social control has been around for sometime, and has been used even longer than one may think, the first use was in c. 515 BC that we know of, “The Rise of Darius to The Persian Throne”, then “The Arthashasta” c.350-283 BC, and of course, the Romans used it c.59 BC - 17 AD. It spread during the Reformation in ways never seen before with the printing press in Europe and there were thirteen American colonies that had specialized on topic for the interest of the Patriots and not so fond of the Loyalists, playing a major role in the demand for independence. It goes on continually throughout time.
Even the word propaganda has been turned into a negative, in its original sense was positive and helpful neutral and useful for information. Edward Bernays “the father of public relations” and regarded as one of the hundred most influential Americans of the twentieth century. Bernays also said, “The public’s democratic judgment was not to be relied on”. One of the most prominent political writers Walter Lippmann sat together on a US public information committee Bernays pioneered the PR industry by using social sciences and adding psychology this  popularized Freud ideas, mainly group psychology. Barclay's’ actually wrote the book on psychological manipulation, literally in 1928, “Propaganda” he even stated that, “the manipulation of public opinion was a necessary part of democracy”. He also wrote, “Manipulation ones opinion” in 1928, and states, “a technique has been developed and applied”. Indeed it has who we are what we want need how we love what we think is love it has all been predetermined for us. Not like worm wholes repeating our lives, no they are using us all working for the powers that be. So we become aware and watch learn take the “red pill” while the “sheep” take the “blue pill”.
 I have seen more and more shows and news pumping us up while we are in the hypnotic state of brainwashing watching some great new show and then another and a common theme arises every change of shows brings a “NEW THREAT” to you! Your household, the kids, the earth (the one thing that is real)... never the less a common “trend” in major shows. Like, perhaps… women in power? Seem familiar. Recently I see survival shows a lot of them, and a negative veering and lack of trust towards the mercenary groups. In the long run, the military saves the day, not the survivalists or redneck leading a city with an AK, no they are depicted as bad people and guns as an evil threat to families and always shown in the wrong hands. 
My perception could be totally off, or… they are trying to sway us, disarm us willingly, and place the idea in our heads not go rise up against the government when the time comes to, and it will. When all the people see the big Ponzi scheme, the government and barker cartels have bestowed on us just to line their pockets. They are desensitizing us to the future n new world order, all those zombie shows are just junkies ready to eat your face off when they Close America off to all other countries and resources and China has bought up all our good land and energy. All that will be left is Anarchy, Drugs, liquor and guns…our knowledge and empathy remains. I went a little too far there; however, the “what if” or disaster looming is each individual’s perception. So I will continue with the “rant” of new world order. I do not know why with all violence that we are exposed to, and desensitize by, why aren’t we just publicly hanging people that have wrecked America?... Raise Nixon and flank him till we go back to gold. Bernanke burned at the stake, or pitting him in cage against lions or Bears and Bulls, loose in some coliseum or a dome like a bad mad max reenactment! Yellen and Draghi as Master Blaster…Michelle Obama as Tina Turner, now I have to post the video clip of that.

I could be way off. Perhaps they have a plan, and it is for everyone to unite, peace love and freedom, America Land the free, rich happy and healthy. They will have every person rise above middle class, and issue high tax for the rich they will even take a ten percent cut for just one year. Every banker and government personal will do it, just to fund low-income schools and include theater and art classes or days that they cut. Sad thing is they could… for every school in the nation… for the next fifty years. The pessimist I am, I just kind of lean towards them being greedy and see them more or less wiping out the middle class setting up their life in luxury while we the 99% just hope… as they manipulate us to believe if we do what is being said, we need to… and in time everything will be ok, someday.
  Now we know the public perception is the focus for swaying us through media, how the public responds to information given is the key. The concern in this is finding the concurrent high points of some information then when other information being introduced. This information is what advertisers and the powers that control all seek. What action will cause a reaction, most of all just what will the reaction be? The public’s reaction is what the big boys bet on, profit from, and invest in. The media has become the ultimate advertising tool pushing products and bias information, then acting as rivals while supporting the same globalist organizations pushing a product. Thirty years ago, The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) director Dave McGowan stated (who also was murdered shortly after he stated) “The Central Intelligence Agency owns everyone and any significance in the major media”. The CIA has advanced in every way since then. One can only imagine what the CIA could have control over with the new technological advances combined with physics and science, biology, and chemistry, the breakthroughs have been historical recently and keep growing  The list could go on and on. Knowledge of Humanity and the way we think and act are mapped out; we have learned so much about our cells and body, and our brain finding why and how we do what we do. 
We still do not know so much about the mind, humans are complex, and though most behavior is predictable, some is not. the aspect of free will and unpredictability’s of sadness, empathy, and  love, anger, hope and lust are emotional and each of us express these differently. Fear however, is a much more predicable human response, more of a fight or flight formula to manipulate us with. Tragedy sells, the collapse, ruin, and war, disease, money, the loss of the hopeful gain, false reassurance, and outright lies, all fed to us in a multitude of ways, redirecting or behavior to serve their greedy interests. The stories we have been told all our lives may hold some truth, more a piece of the puzzle or a guide to the truth. The tales of mythology, religion, even poets, and art have altered our perception throughout time. Even fables, songs, and fairy tales can been depicted in many ways unveiling racism, sexism, and control, etc. The common thread in all manipulation is, good and evil, heaven and hell, white and black, these all have two sides to every story, all the things we have been told and learned are depicted and swayed by the storyteller, we will never find the whole truth, time has buried most information with the motives and greed mankind constantly seeks .
  Truth and fiction become irrelevant when profit or desperation becomes involved. 
H.G. Wells wrote about social engineering though sports and back then, people may have thought he was crazy when he wrote of a tribal system that was needed for men, engrained in us primitively a need for a tribe and leader, an Alpha male. As the emerging expert class arose, man would be more disengaged from what you would call a tribe or his own destiny. Sports though radio and adding a stadium in every city gave man the outlet he was subconsciously seeking, in the hypnotic state of a new cultural industry. The Soviet Union even had what was called a culture industry. The actors and directors of media and film were called the "cultural leaders", because they could control the public. This was the psychology behind control because humans have a need to belong; a need to be liked wanted and accepted by our peers, we are easily programmed by a scientific dictatorship. We have been programmed as if machines manipulated so much we cannot even determine the difference between “real wealth” and what we are programmed to believe “real wealth” is. When did owning even leasing a Bentley become a better investment than land, education, family, or medicine, even free will? The pressure to have material possessions, a bigger house another car or truck, a better life, is not just a pressure, this has been instilled in us so much that now advertisements are making fun of the blatant brainwashing of these unobtainable social status.
 For the 99% what we see the lavish lifestyles lived is an unobtainable social structure and status, it is a distraction for the masses, something to strive for and keep going, set up so you remain unfulfilled and keep working and spending. They want you to spend not save that is not what our economic structure is based on. They want and need you to max out your credit take a mortgage out, even a second or a third, all so, you will not have any true assets and you will keep paying on that interest. Media does more than take your money for various purposes it drives you steering you and guiding your next step.
 I see more and more people taking the “red pill”, seeing the media for what it really is a tool to control us. People have learned that investigative journalism is just associated with different specifics, not truth. What the media says and shows you may just be a movie set or even actors, even the energetic newscaster pushing a new company, you now may know is their sponsor. Media is a tool and like everything have two sides and two ways of looking at it and two ways to use it. Alternatively, the public can use it to their advantage as well. The information is out there, just some codes will be easer to crack, others much harder. An informational puzzle and all the pieces, what they are discussing and selling or buying, it is the history and relationships all of it is out there. However, it’s more “why” they are broadcasting it, selling it, or buying it, the true history not what is told to you the real relationships between people. 
The public is waking up to the fact we have been living in a nation opposite of everything we were told America is and what it stood for, the opposite of what we have learned in school from teachers, parents, peers. Our history has been rewritten to conform societies and create a mass of human machines to program. . A false nation built with blood and greed, manipulation and power. Our history like our nation is false, made up, altered by fake governments, fake rules, fake leaders hand picked by Oligarchs and bankers in a fake democracy. Our fake judiciary system with its fake laws designed so though Oligarchs, bankers and government can rob you blind without due process or even court orders, then the powers that be can rob them. Our Freedom? Fake, our amendments? Falsified, and rewritten, our authority Fake, a nation with the backbone of our proud constitution reworded and altered so they can serve there own control and strip us of power and our true rights even our own choice. What do we have left that is real or ours truly? Knowledge and the right to bear arms and defend ourselves (for now). There are many upsides in our new god we call media in this lawless run nation. Knowledge is power, and we are curious creatures with instincts for survival to protect our legacy though our children.

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

That Janet Yellen is quite a GUY! Part 2



“Give me control of a nations money and I care not who makes its laws”
~Mayer Amschel Rothschild

The decision made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) today is fundamental to the direction of the USD and the US economy. The market responds to the FOMC meetings and anticipation of their decision to raise, extend, or lower the Federal Funds interest rate. The FOMC also makes the decision to increase or decrease money supply. We have seen them increasing money supply since 2008 purchasing long term treasury and mortgage backed securities and quantitative easing (QE) and it has caused interest rates to fall to zero percent, the lowest rate possible. The FED spent eighty-five billion a month buying up those securities. In the last few years the have cut back by ten billion a month. The playbook the FED has been using has been misleading trying to fight economic weakness by using a synthetic form like (QE).
If the FED wants economic growth, they decrease rates. Too much of anything is never good; going to any extreme is very bad. An economy that grows too fast leads to inflation. The increase in rates would slow the economies growth, too slow leads to a recession. Any change in the Federal Fund interest rates will impact us all; even the domestic public will feel the effect with the cost of credit. It will impact the direction of the USD, and how the US economy performs overall. Our economy is barley a float and I am being generous in that statement
Seven years since the crash, Yellen may be forced into a hike; the longer it takes for the inevitability of increased rates the harder the recovery will be. The impact would change everything on a global scale. Could the FED even risk a hike? They will have to raise them eventually, and what better time all the numbers are lined up. The USD is in popular demand. Everyone wants USD this leads to an over stimulated demand. Fact is, finding USD counter parties for swaps is difficult, and a raise could help. If they don’t raise people may abandon the USD, even though the FED would never admit that. To raise or not to raise that is the question. Since the FED is independent what is best for them? The FEDs choice really has nothing to do with the economy and stability of monetary polices. This is about the bubble of government debt that cannot be serviced at a higher rate, even if the US had the tax base to do so. The wages report proved we can’t afford to service the debt, if those numbers are even close to the truth. It is a lose-lose situation.


The anticipation has begun. We already see investors who bought high price stocks pulling out before the FOMC meeting. This time around, bonds are no longer a safe haven; the European Union (EU) and the FED have set the market up for a crisis, a historical bond market collapse. The mass (QE) in Japan and Europe has created a runaway dollar making real US economic recovery impossible. The FED is running out of options. Force the domestic public to buy treasury debt and get low yields bankrupting the people. It could be the reverse bankrupting the FED with high rates in interest and mass retracting of domestic cash availability. The economic activity would be crushed by the Treasury’s detraction of five percent off the GDP. Under a mandate, the FED has to pay any profit that acquires from the interest rate increase back to the Treasury so government pays zero in FED held bonds anyway so the raise would not really benefit the FED or impact the government the way one would think. They keep talking about a small rise. Just a one percent rise in interest on debt would total around one hundred and eighty billion dollars added to the FEDs interest. If US Treasury bill becomes too pricy for the government, they will need to be bailed out by the FED and then the FED buys up those expensive bonds. This buying would be a domino effect of disaster, starting with forcing the USD in to the system by QE4, then hyperinflation, the US dollar would be buried. Everything would collapse however all the debt would be gone. This may be the idea, they know much more information than we can even imagine, this could be the “master plan”, the real reset right around the corner.
Will they monetize debt and risk mass inflation? They would piss off every bondholder in the world causing unpredictable consequences. I personally don’t think they will raise rates, not yet and probably not in June. They could go lower, however negative rates are discouraging to investors. They would issue QE4 before they lower them. The risk of negative rates would rip apart the US defecate, the financing costs would be immense. Negative rates would show just how bad it is and I doubt the United States would pay a premium for foreign investors to have cash in the US. If recovery is possible, true economic recovery will never happen with negative rates, and they know that. The increase would cause a political frenzy, voters who have never even thought the raise could effect them will be looking at all the politicians demanding an explanation looking for someone to blame, the derivatives market implodes and it becomes clear that these trusted politicians have been piling the bank derivative liabilities on the United States taxpayer.
The FED has a limited historical perspective on what a healthy functioning financial system really looks like. Have we seen a healthy economy? Do we have a clue what normal bonds look like? An economy where we put money into a CD or account and get paid to save our money. To better our economy as a whole, a normalized economy. The years of manipulation and bailouts have desensitized people into bad decisions with their investments that didn’t even make sense to begin in the first place. Bonds and stocks have been pushed by the zero percent interest rates at unsupportable levels.
The market is overvalued and if the FEDs decision were based on real data as much as they claim, the rates would have increased a while back. We already see investors who bought high price stocks pulling out before the FOMC meeting. Yellen may push the decision back till June in realizing the massive momentum of equities sell offs. The market has already reacted. With little regard for yields, big money ran out and bought up overvalued bonds, praying the FED will extend the decision till June. This time around, bonds are no longer a safe haven. The European Union (EU) and the FED have set the market up for a crisis, a historical bond market collapse. Manipulation of bond rates from trillion dollar swaps has been the course were on, it would be harder to reverse it now. The raise would cause the bond market meltdown and a market crisis. Bonds have been the life support for banks. If they rise rates an even a quarter point, like they are implying. On a one percent yield, big money would dump all bonds paying at one percent and buy up the one and a quarter. It would cause instability with the bond market, and this bubble is getting bigger and bigger. The end of QE caused an international tsunami into US bonds. They may not have a book that can help this time.
Truth and lies move the market the most; sadly, one isn’t different from the other, the truth, or the lie. It doesn’t matter what’s real or not because human behavior is what you trade on or invest in. Behavioral, social, Industrial, all psychologists and analysts, teams of them all put together with specialists in marketing just to predict what you do, say, how you feel, live, dress, but most of all…what you will spend and spend it on. Let’ say for instance you spend on the market, well they know what you are going to purchase, sell or watch and “they” the big money bet on it. Government runs our media and how and what we believe to be real, news, trends, politics and finance. The decision starts today and with the housing numbers so dismal it looks like an extension and more “patience” is in order, how convenient.

It will be a panic driven recovery

Monday, March 16, 2015

That Janet Yellen is quite a GUY!

Part 1
Last year Ben Bernanke’s predecessor Janet Yellen was sworn in as the Federal Reserve’s (FEDs) chairperson February 2014, she is the first women to lead the FED in its one hindered year history; many people attribute her position to Obama because she was his top pick for the chair. It became clear she would follow in the footsteps of Bernanke after leading her first meeting a little over a month after being sworn in. The decisions the FED make effect every person on a global scale; they truly are the most powerful independent entity in the world. Although the FED is independent, the FEDs governor positions of the FOMC members are appointed by the US President with the approval from the US Senate for fourteen year terms. This fourteen year term is designed to minimize the political influence one president could have over the board. The FED tells us their goal is to have steady economic growth, Yellen has been open about her goals normalizing the US economy.
If the FEDs decision was truly based on data as much as they proclaim they would have increased rates already. If the US showed signs of real economic recovery, Yellen wouldn’t have to tiptoe around her wording the way she is. The FED recently has tried to become “more transparent” with their decisions. Yet, we as the domestic public are only allowed to know very limited information as to what exactly they as a whole are looking at. The FOMC members look at what they call a “Green Book” the forecast of the US economy, a “Blue Book” that holds monetary policy alternatives and the “Beige Book” that is the only book of these three that is released to the public two weeks before the FOMC meeting. This Beige Book holds a description of economic conditions from each Reserve banks district.
The anticipation of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is just as important when trading Forex as the actual rise or decrease of the interest rate decision. Statements made by any FED member are extremely important. Analysts dissect every word and examine the language used. For many, a hedge on what decisions the FED make is the key to outsmarting the competition and profiting. The media loves any statements made about or by the FED, it is difficult to look at the facts with the government run media polluting the market with meaningless opinions, or what they want you to believe is the direction they are taking. Even the announcements by the FED itself can be misleading, for instance they took two years to stop Quantitative Easing (QE) after saying that they were considering it. Fortunes ride on every word of the Federal Reserves announcements. No other legislative entity has more power and influence on how the financial market moves than the FED. Other counties look to the FED for direction and have even followed the FEDs monetary policies, and continue to do so. This coming meeting is particularly important for many private traders, investors, and big money. This meeting is on the Federal Funds interest rate change, an increase or the decrease of Federal Funds interest rates. The decision will impact every US bank’s interest rate fee and how they lend and barrow money.
For those that don’t know what the FOMC interest rate decision is, let me briefly explain. One could think about the importance of this meeting and announcement like the government quarterly earnings report. Eight times a year the FOMC meets to set the monetary stance, fixing the federal funds overnight borrowing rate. This federal funds “interest rate” is what you hear so much about, the rate the Federal Reserve (FED) lends balances to other depository institutions, banks borrowing reserves and lending to one another at the Federal Funds Rate. The FOMC sets a target rate rage; however, the Open Market actually decides the rate itself. That is why most of the terminology used by the FED is vague or abstract misleading even contradictory. Market forces determine the actual rate itself. The FED will do what it needs to by influencing the operations in swaying the Open Market a multitude of ways. The FOMC makes changes based on non-specific economic data and undisclosed target numbers. Banks, credit unions, all depository institutions are required to keep a target amount of money in reserves at all times. For instance when a bank is over or low on that target reserve they must borrow or lend. A bank above the target is sitting on non-interest gaining money and will be lent to another who is low on their target reserve. The Federal Funds Rate adjusts to the supply and demand of bank reserves .The decrease in rates comes from the reserve supply being greater than the demand causing a decrease in the funds rate. The reports that are looked over by the FOMC from the Central Banks (CB) is ultimately what sets the target rate for now and direction in the future. If a rate decrease is needed, the FED buys US treasury securities creating new money and a larger reserve supply, increasing bank reserves without overnight borrowing in the reserves market. If the reserve supply demand is higher than the supply, they raise rates. The increase means the FOMC would sell US treasury securities causing a reduction of bank reserves and more overnight borrowing. The FED buying and selling open market operations and US Treasury securities is the way they implement monetary policy and maintain the target rate. The problem is liquidity keeps drying up, then open market law fails as money increases then becomes too expensive for government to borrow, this is what Yellen is trying to avoid.


Thursday, February 19, 2015

It is all Greek to me.



      Just because you read it, see it or feel it, doesn’t mean it is real or you understand it.  I have been horrified how the media sways the opinions of people and the market with inaccurate or misleading information.  The whole Eurozone and Greek fiasco has been consuming headlines for months and now is postponed until March.  I have found most of the information and publicity I have seen and heard is swayed and bias.  The information varies from one extreme side to the other; how the Greeks are lazy and spent more than they brought in, they never enforce or paid taxes or they just want to blame the banks, they should suffer, they already were bailed out once.  Greece may have been irresponsible, but the banks funded that irresponsibility, knowing Greece was totally bankrupt...  The media is making it seem like Greece is snubbing The German taxpayer who is extending a hand just trying to help. The understanding of the language used is what needs to be clear to people reading about all of this as to what exactly the bailout entails.
The Greeks are upset because what they are rejecting is a loan not a bailout, the term “bailout” is misleading on so many levels. A “Bailout” is actually referring to the banks, unless they are bailing out payments to Greek banks.  It is not Greece itself or its economy, the money involved in the “bailout” will not help Greece.  It will be used to bail out bad banks.  Unfortunately, Greece is just a cover for the money transfer.  Just to be clear what happened to the “loans” the last time, ninety-two percent went directly to banks, six percent went to government, and only two percent went back to the Greek people.  The Greek people are the victims of the banker cartel who is immune to any and all consequences with their actions and funded Greece without effective collateral, knowing the credit risk and dumped funds into it anyway, just socializing the loses to the taxpayers.
 The real problem to the Euro group is how any changes they make will affect the global derivatives market. The derivatives market holds roughly seven hundred trillion dollars, ten times the size of the world (GDP) it includes bonds from many different countries, even bankrupt countries, like Greece.  The entire western financial system has sovereign bonds from other counties.  Sovereign bonds are seen as a “risk free” asset when considering the risk the chances a company will go belly up is way more risk than a whole country going belly up. The banks have to consider what happens to the trades made using Greek sovereign bonds.  Many factors have to be looked at by both sides; one thing not mentioned much is the most important thing, collateral.  The primary collateral underlying all of these trades is Greece.  Sovereign bonds are the senior most assets pledged as collateral for the trillions dollars worth of trades.  The bondholders will be affected most by the decisions made.  Just how and how much they will be affected is the real question.  The last bail out was for the Euro banks that held Greek bonds as collateral.  This is not about helping and restricting the Greek economy; it’s all about the Euro group and banks the collateral and maintaining the balance sheet to avoid taking a loss.
 To make the situation and language clear, to the people of Europe, the Greeks have spoken at the Tour of Europe to correct misleading information and terminology of just what they are asking for and what the Euro group is offering.  Greece and Germany are using non-communication “communication” the resolution is not close.  Now Washington has stuck its nose in to the Business between Greece and the Euro group “urging a compromise” this has been by the US Treasury secretary, Jacob Lew.  Ironic that the United States can even speak on the debt with America eight-teen trillion dollars in debt.
 They want Greece to leave their policies behind and pay back the debt they owe.  This of course is not going to happen.  Why would Greece pay it back even if it could when every country has debt in one way or another and they are not expected to pay up the hundred percent in debt they owe (US).  Greece is just a few years ahead of the rest of the world.  The numbers the Euro group is asking for will be impossible for Greece to pay back.  Can we even believe the numbers that they are giving us?  The numbers are calculated by the same system that was used to get Greece approved into the Euro. We saw those numbers, they were completely fraudulent.  How can we blame anyone or take sides?  The central banking system has everyone believing that money is free, and now feel entitled to it.  There maybe “no risk” in the central banking system, but now there is no value.  The bankruptcy and austerity are now inevitable for many counties.  This has all been a game, a play executed by best-organized gangs of criminals, our world’s biggest gangsters, the banksters.  They are who effectively control the biggest forms of organized crime…the government.  All we can do is sit back and watch, while poor Spain and Italy, watching, and thinking, saying, “We’re next”
Germany is doing all of this the worst way they can.  They are pushing the decision back to March giving Russia and China time to set up a fund for Greece, which would be a huge game changer.  I am sure the Eurozone ego would never see Greece joining Russia as part of its master plan.  Spring tends to be Europe’s protesting months, and civilization cannot survive on run theft ethics.  The Euro group has most likely already dumped Greek bonds on pension funds long before now.  The only reason Greece would repay is to give the Eurozone citizens reassurance that they haven’t just been robbed.  Default maybe the only answer; it is immoral to ask future generations to pay debts they did not incur.  .  The real problem ultimately is the fact, that to a central bank you are the collateral.
This could this just be a step closer to achieving a global currency deemed as the only legal tender by the IMF.  They all know the eventual inevitability, with their Madoff-scheme debt-based monetary system.  We as individuals will have to change the system ourselves and open our eyes. The change will require more than merely recognizing the social facts about central banks; we have to profoundly change paradigms that will be necessary to perceive those central banksters facts in radically different ways.  Then you will have a chance of formulating real solutions to the endless cycle of treacherous usury that is the banking system.  The global bond bubble is still going to burst; when it does, it will make the last crisis look like a cartoon.  Let us not overlook the Euro banks as a whole are leveraged at twenty-six to one.

Just for your own information…The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) Report states on page.  48
The CFMA effectively shielded OTC derivatives from virtually all regulation or oversight.  Subsequently, other laws enabled the expansion of the market.  For example, under a 2005 amendment to the bankruptcy laws, derivatives counterparties were given the advantage over other creditors of being able to immediately terminate their contracts and seize collateral at the time of bankruptcy.


Monday, February 16, 2015

Out of Control

The ever-looming Grexit decision has created weakness and uncertainty in the Euro and the Central Banker's have been planning just what to do next and what limited options they have. The other currencies can benefit from the decision one way or another, one alone would benefit the most the Swiss Franc (CHF). If Greece exits the Euro (EUR) Switzerland would have billions of fresh capital that would need a safe place, that it wont be denominated into Greece's new or old Lira, Peseta or Drachma. One thing is for sure, the Swiss will do whatever it takes to benefit them in the long run. The CEO of Zuercher Cantonal Bank, Martin Scholl has said "anything is possible" when asked the question if they were going to implement capital controls or lower the already negative interest rates. Capital controls limit the flow of foreign capital in a domestic economy. This flow in and out of capital affects Forex, bond, equities and overall market based forces. Control over the flow in and out of an economy can be seen as positive or negative and has been a subject of much debate. The foreign capital includes tariffs, taxes, outright legislation and volume. Many have strong opinions on just how this can affect the economy overall. Economy's open to foreign capital give large companies easier access and the overall demand for domestic stocks can rise a great deal. Some think it can limit the efficiency and economic process, tight capital controls in developing counties are common. The integration of financial markets along with other global factors have contributed to the easing of controls, yet the Swiss are saying this is a option. Central banks all over the world are blowing up with liquidity, what choice does a independent Central Bank have other than limiting their own currency's convertibility? They have an obligation to protect their country's currency from the coming currency crap-storms, and they will do whatever it takes.
The Swiss don't really have any commodities so they import them in U.S. dollars (USD) or in Euros (EUR) so they are striving to lower their currency even though they are in a healthy position with good demand for their currency. Capital controls are control of money and that just leads to control of people, the banks are feeling as though they are losing control over the money and the people. This is a big problem and the SNB will have to make some major decisions before the grexit.
The Swiss have been open with their plans and generally give a great deal when it comes to their next moves and strive in maintaining their independence. They were not so forthcoming when they ended the cap, in fact they made statements that would make people think they never would end it. Because of this many think they have lost their well established credibility. The Central Bank had stated that "The minimum exchange rate must remain" just two days before ending the CHF cap, that caused a black swan event within the market. Huge currency swings like that make trading highly problematic, and fear moves the market the most. People are veering from unstable currencies, however the CHF is a historically "safe" currency. Normally capital controls are implemented to prevent a massive outflow of capital not a inflow, in turn this would seem that the National Bank (SNB) could be worried about a collapse in the CHF or the other way around they thought that a strong currency would hurt exports.
The currency war is accelerating. Central banks, like all decision makers have a range of options. The SNB (one Friday afternoon on a bank holiday weekend) may just impose negative interest rates to a level that forces bank runs then order capital controls to lock everyone out of getting their money, highly doubtful. The discussion of imposing negative rates is a clear sign that the borrowing entity is bankrupt. The SNB has not stated that they will impose the negative interest rates or capital control. However, when you say you're not considering something at the moment, that seems to imply that you might consider it in the future. Most people in the U.S. pay with plastic not cash , in Europe more cash is used. We may soon have to bank at home , it will be the only safe place for your money. The banker cartel's worst fear is that we will take the money printing press away from them and no longer support digital and fiat.

Friday, February 6, 2015

Bring on the CORRECTIONS



Cause and effect is the basis of all currency trading.  Currency exchange is supply and demand; fundamental analysis that examines economic factors can help determine supply and demand.  You could spend years even decades learning all there is to know about Forex trading.  You can apprentice “all knowing traders” dump money into technical systems, apps, and lessons.  The best education is experience, if by chance (you will), you do come across the “all knowing trader” run the other way.  A good trader is a humble one; they have made bad calls and lost a lot and also made great moves and gained.  A humble trader will have more respect for the Forex market, including the individuals that follow their own way and want to learn all they can.  The Forex market is a combination of corporate and private traders using different strategies, looking at different pieces of data that sway their moves.  With more than eight major currencies and at least seventeen derivatives available for trading at any given time, finding the right information that will work for your strategy is key.  More than seven pieces of vital information is released daily, regarding the eight major currencies.  This information can be about the country’s  inflation, deflation, trade balance, payroll, production, sales, or banks.  Specific information can be much more important and move the market causing high, medium, or low volatility.  We can download many different types of economic calendars that highlight all of these aspects even what the rate the volatility will be upon the reports release.  Timing is also another thing to consider.  The time when the information is released in another country can create a trend quickly causing momentum unable to sustain even the right moves.  Even if you do your research, the risk of reversal is high due to the volatility. 
            U.S. economic releases are looked at the most since the USD is involved with 90% of all trades. Unfortunately, the United States focuses on corruption everywhere but America.  The correction in the reports will come regardless of what they report now.  If you are not one of the sheep believing that the economic data reports are accurate, you can predict what the outcome of those reports will be.The real indicator is price.You can listen to the rumors or buy and sell fact.  Focusing on too much on news, propaganda, and fundamentals can damage your performance.The major players are not concerned with the facts or reports based on what they want to happen.
 It is important to watch how the market is moving and just what information is making an impact.  What factors move the market? I mentioned before Fundamental analysis, the study of economic factors that influence the Forex market. Technical analysis on the other hand predicts patterns, studying price levels, volume, and then forecasting the pair and what direction they will move.  Information is the key, and your own knowledge is truly power you have. Unfortunately, the United States focuses on corruption everywhere but America.If you are not one of the sheep believing that the economic data reports are accurate, you can predict what the outcome of those reports will be.  If you are one or know one of the major players on Wall Street you may be able to gain your own what they call a “Whisper Number” this number is the earnings per share (EPS) unpublished and unreleased forecast.  These numbers are much more regulated and confidential now days.  However, major corporations and the extremely wealthy still get tips here and there.  You can also generate your very own Whisper Number, just by your own research, information, company financials, and market trends.  You can even use instinct or gut feelings when it differs from the consensus forecast you can set your trades appropriately to gain an edge.  Forex trading is not based on logic, it is primary a price action strategy, gauging the directional future of the market.  You should definitely incorporate all the information given to position yourself correctly.
 A study on just how long information from the news affects the market was done by Martin D. D. Evans and Richard K. Lyons in 2004.  It showed that it takes hours if not days to absorb the effect on returns and order flow, it generally occurs in the first or second day and really pronounced by the third day lingering till the forth day.  This study was also done in 2004.  Technological advancements and instant data are much more accessible.  You can see the effect happen quickly looking at the volatility.  Volatility is crucial to understanding the way the market moves.  How much a pair moves by the minute, hourly, daily, and long volatility vary drastically?  Monitoring the volatility is constant, and can tell you how you should be trading.  Volatility is much more useful when measured by the fundamental and technical analysis.  Conditional bias will happen, politics, and other elements will throw off any predictions they have. Developing your own strategy is the key to achieve or sustain profitable trades.

Blogger: Adrienne DeMarco 

Thursday, February 5, 2015

The allure of self-confidence (jpy)

     Hello,
As awaited the Japanese news was released and helped our trades. Usd/Jpy didn't move immediately in our direction, but sometimes moves play out over the course of a few hours as traders figure out what they want to do and the manipulators have chance to run those positions.
     Japanese purchasing of foreign bonds had increased from 44.2bln yen to 675.2bln yen, foreign stocks had increased from 382.1bln yen to 457.9bln yen. As for their purchasing of Japanese bonds, that dropped from 236.3bln yen to 70.2bln yen. Purchasing of Japanese stocks dropped from 464.8bln yen to 104.bln yen. Wow! the purchasing of foreign bonds increased +1428%. That blows me away, and the purchasing of domestic bonds and stocks fell an average of -74%. In a simplistic view of this, a layman's view, I would say this shows their doubt in the stability of their economy. I haven't delved too deep into the structure of their finances, so they could be balancing it all out in some way, but as for trading it on a time frame of a couple days, I think most traders are looking at the currency the way I stated. From the time of this economic news, the Usd/Jpy has moved up about +0.17% as I type this. The pair also seems to be unable to find a direction and wants to oscillate back and forth across the 117.45, ranging between 117.10 to 117.70
     For tomorrow we have non-farm payrolls and unemployment, so we'll go ahead and hold to see what happens then.

Have a good evening and good luck,
Professor Chaney

Wednesday, February 4, 2015

Usd/Jpy long, round 2

Hello and good day traders!
Previous trades were closed a couple of days ago for an overall gain. The Aud/Jpy and Usd/jpy were the two positions that refused to return a profit, which is more than ok considering our long Eur/Chf, Gbp/Chf and Usd/chf trades turned out so well.
This week Usd/jpy once again met all my parameters to go long and once again we seem to be bouncing around in a range testing and bouncing off resistance at 117,25. This trade has been bouncing around from negative -0.30% to +0.30%, negative, than back again. At this point I'll be happy if it just breaks even or better yet I can get out a few ticks up. Yeah I know this is how currency moves, but it's one thing to bounce around in a profit or loss and another to bounce around from loss to gain than back and forth.
In about 35 minutes, some economic data is being released for japan and with 2 of our 3 trade parameters still being met, hopefully this will give Usd/Jpy the push up we need until we get out in a couple days, when our exit parameters are met.
The data coming out is as follows.
:JPY Japan Buying Foreign Bonds (Yen) (JAN 30) previous ¥45.6B -medium importance
:JPY Japan Buying Foreign Stocks (Yen) (JAN 30) previous ¥382.1B -medium importance
:JPY Foreign Buying Japan Bonds (Yen) (JAN 30) previous ¥237.5B -low importance
:JPY Foreign Buying Japan Stocks (Yen) (JAN 30) previous ¥466.9B -low importance
About 1 hour and 40 minutes later the following is happening.
:JPY BOJ Iwata Gives Speech and Hold a Press Conference -low importance

...Will catch you on the other side, good luck!!

Monday, February 2, 2015

IPA $67 keg..... OIL $50 and below

People have been speculating for some time about the true underlying reasons as to why and how the oil l price has been declining and where it will go. We have the Saudi's stating that we will never see $100 a barrel of oil again. Then we have the Secretary General Abdell El-Bardri saying that oil will climb up to $200 a barrel.
The Saudi's have been lowering prices to cripple the American fracking rigs. Its working, North Dakota as well as all other minor fracking Fields across the U.S. are shutting down. Manipulation to put America's production on halt could be OPEC's doing. It is like Wal-mart vs. mom and pop stores if you can wipe out all the small stores then you can reign supreme because you are the monopoly. It took over six months for many oil and fracking companies just to turn off the tap even though they saw the demand decreasing and prices plummeting. Most if not all these companies will never be able start up again because its all leveraged out with junk bonds. The lack of investors will make it impossible to open the way it was. The population is growing, that means demand for food and other conveniences such as oil and energy will grow regardless. It is estimated that by 2030 China's demand for oil will increase 600%, even though demand is low now it may not be soon enough.
Many theories are on the table, I personally see this as economic war. The U.S. is driving the price down in targeted countries Russia, Venezuela and Iran. These counties will soon be replaced with pro-westerns leaders, most likely by the Obama Administration. Putin, Maduro and Rouhanie are on the United States "blacklist". Putin is a major target, he has the will and drive to assert their *sovereignty*. He supports Assad because he was freely elected. However he opposes Islamic fundamentalism. Other nations bow under America's drone bombs and trade agreements, like China has been doing. The world buckles under the "extra-sovereign" companies like Monsanto and Apple. On the other side of this onslaught is really just one man, Putin. There's a second guy in Greece, but the powers that be will make sure he doest have a leg to stand on.

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Positions update.

Current positions update.
It's now Wednesday and positions have continued with our directional bias, Up. To over view our positions, we are holding the following positions all longs (buys). Aud/jpy, Eur/chf, Gbp/chf, Gbp/jpy, Usd/chf, and Usd/jpy. The Aud/jpy and Usd/jpy positions have retracted some since there ultimate high, but the Swiss Franc associated trades that we sold it against have more than made up for the strength of Japanese Yen (jpy). I could get into some macro fundamental breakdown of why the pairs are moving in the way that is playing out, but trading it on a shorter time frame of positions being held for only days, I think the technical aspect is more relevant and I don't really have it in me to come up with some fundamental bs today. Instead we'll just go over some facts about the trades.
     The Eur/chf pair had originally sold off about -18%, our trade in that has moved up about +3.3%. Our Gbp/chf trade is up about +3.6%, that had sold off some -15% since the Swiss National Bank (SNB) removal of the Eur/chf $1.20 support barrier. Usd/chf is at +2.6% rebound from it's -14% sell off. Where are these going to end up you may ask? Beats me, my guess is we will probably hold close to the current levels with a possible testing of the high water marks from earlier this week. Both the Eur/chf and Gbp/chf reached up over a +4% rebound before settling back down to where they are currently. The Japanese yen trades have completely evaporated their gains and the Aud/jpy, Usd/jpy pairs are now posting a loss.
     In one hour and 40 minutes Japanese retail sales are being released for year on year (y/y), so hopefully this will help out positions. Later at midnight my time, Great Britain national house prices month on month (m/m) are being released. Two hours after that German unemployment change and rate will be released, this could help out our Eur/chf trade, so of course we'll be praying for the best outcome.

That's all I got for right now, good luck.
Professor Chaney

Monday, January 26, 2015

SNB, CHF reaction squared

Hello again fellow traders!

With the (SNB)Swiss National Bank having surprised the currency markets with the removal of the 1.20 Eur/Chf support barrier, it was only a matter of time until currency pairs trading against the (CHF) Swiss Franc recouped some of their loss. Those losses from the date of the SNB meeting averaged a loss of over -15% paired with the majors Eur, Gbp and Usd. Having dropped that large of an amount, the market has been poised for a recovery of those moves. Such a large amount of people disintegrated the week of January 15th, that the market was able to rebound since there was no loss to the 'market'. So much money vanished, where usually stops would be run on people trying to buy the rebound, that I think the pairs Eur/chf, Gbp/chf, Usd/chf will be left alone to rebound, because enough stops were run to cover weeks and months of trading. If anything, I think most traders that do specialize in those pairs are hesitant to catch a falling knife, which means there could be low volume on the buy side (low amount of stops) and traders that are coming in late trying to sell on the up moves are having their stops run. Yeah, just about everyone is getting burned with CHF associated pairs. Even those who are trading Euro associated pairs are feeling the heat. One would think after the Euro was hammered from the SNB, then the (ECB) European Central Bank, that a safe play would be buying the Euro against anything other than CHF. Like the Eur/aud, Eur/gbp, Eur/jpy or the Eur/usd. Somehow that already seems to be integrated within the 'invisible hand' of the currency market. 'It' knows traders are scared to trade the CHF, so they would be trading other Euro pairs, hence Eur/chf going sky high^, no one is trading it. Except you and I. Holding the following long (buy) positions Aud/jpy, Eur/chf, Gbp/chf, Gbp/jpy, Usd/chf and Usd/jpy.

Thank you, please feel free to comment on any post.
Professor Chaney

Monday, January 19, 2015

For every action there is a reaction.

Hello fellow traders!
     What an incredible week we had. Just when one thinks the markets can't get any crazier, Swiss associated pairs go ballistic. Luckily zero parameters were met to signal a position in any of the Swiss currency pairs.Whether this was just luck or this happened because my strategy somehow 'knew' not to be in those pairs I really don't know. I think what happened was my strategy waits for specific situations within pairs so the price will move rapidly in a given direction, and perhaps the Swiss National Bank (SNB) also knew this situation existed and timed the information release to take advantage of this. Hence a move that magnified beyond most imaginations. The Swiss Franc moved 17% on average against the Eur, Gbp, Usd, Aud, Cad, Jpy. This in turn moved the Eur which is direct competition, an average of 8%.
     By the grace of a higher force we have been blessed (hopefully) with the parameters having been met to buy the Eur/jpy pair. First the pair has sold off so much, I can not imagine there are any more traders able to push the price lower, nor is there anymore stops to be run (if you believe in that). Reading over other traders forecasts on the Eur/jpy, it looks like most of them are calling for a push lower, talk about missing the boat! I could see being scared to trade the Swiss Franc and maybe the Euro, but calling for a push lower seems improbable.
     Helping out our positioning early this morning, Germany's Bundesbank announced the continuation of repatriations of gold from London, New York and Paris. Bundesbank specifically declared 120 tonnes of gold was transferred from Paris and New York, 35 & 85 tonnes. To me this seems as though this informational press release was done to reassure the world that the Euro has a solid foundation and to help recoup some of the massive sell off that just happened. Looking at charts, the start of the rebound seems to coincide perfectly with the time I believe the information release was made. Along with this information, a repatriation  timeline, table was also released further showing their commitment to stabilizing the Eurozone.
     In case you have been living under a rock, the European Central Bank (ECB) is meeting Thursday January 22 over deposit rates, refinancing rates and a bond purchasing program. This program would consist of purchasing €550 billion ($640 billion) of bonds, independently through each nations national bank, the purchases will represent 20-25% of the individual nations debt. Greece will be excluded since their bonds do not met the minimum criteria. If this bond purchasing happens which is most likely, I think the Euro could get incredibly strong against the other major currencies and create a massive up swing for our long Eur/Jpy trade. Let's cross our fingers.
     Let's go ahead and keep holding our position and hope for the best and reconvene tomorrow or later this week.

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

Tis the season!



Reports keep coming out, giving Americans this false sense of hope.  With gas prices so low the little bit of loose change that the average person has in there pocket is making them feel overly confidant in their spending.  Christmas is here and we see the manipulation of advertizing hypnotizing individuals to buy, buy, and buy.  Many people in the U.S. live way beyond there means, so they spend credit, fiat that they do not have and probably never will.  Most people have acquired a mass amount of debt, so much so that the average citizen’s family debt is over 52,000 and the savings per family is under $8,000 those numbers don’t add up to a stronger economy, yet they keep spending what they don’t have. 
I say this because when I mention what a major impact Christmas has over the market, I just cannot stress how many positions one must understand to see just how this retail extravaganza affects the global economy.  Christmas is not just a major American holiday all of Europe and may other countries indulge is this free fall of debt, Americans are just primarily consumers so we see it on a larger scale.  While countries that Americans buy goods from seem to be doing better than average during this consumer holiday. For instance, Sweden that we buy jewelry and watches from and many high end items i.e. Rolex and Omega, not to mention the pharmaceutical companies that benefit from the stress of Christmas.  So many industrial companies are depending on this season and rely on the holidays for a majority of their revenue. Like China, where we get everything from, all benefit from sales for the last half of the year.
During this festive gut-wrenching holiday that is driven by guilt and a need to spend, and credit cards to be used at over capacity.  The need to buy presents for everyone you know is totally justified and expected before paying off your house or a your car or even your electricity bills, during this holiday all this spending seems like a reasonable idea and puts families in even more debt and panic heading into the new year.  When I talk about debt, I am not just talking about individuals, I want to include huge corporations and government as well. We have acquired massive debt and the numbers are growing yet all these reports are trying to convince people that we are headed in the right direction. With Christmas here we don’t need distractions like ISIS or Ebola to distract us and the news is all puppies and babies, in fact they avoid any negativity during the holidays. They want to keep us blind to the truth, out of sight out of mind.  
During the depressions in the past we have seen it first hand people lined up for aid and food, out in the streets begging for any help at all.  Now we are sheltered from it, we have a food stamp card, government assistance personnel, whole offices dedicated to housing, disability and welfare. Free government money is the new normal. 
An estimated 45 plus of Americans are on food stamps, that is about 15 percent of the population and I believe it is way more, but that is just what they report, more like 30 percent. Our children are growing up used to and accustomed to aid, and government assistance programs, they don’t see why it is a problem to be on assistance and don’t care about it at all. Most young women in America, single mothers depend and rely on that government check and while some do benefit from the situation, go to school and see it all as a temporary time and assistance in they’re life. Others make this a life choice and take full advantage of the help, just take what they can and are comfortable living off the government. While we stay blind to the numbers and are persuaded by the reports and the FED’s false confidence, energy manipulation and media. We sit back and spend just to enjoy a day with family and friends. Tis the season to sit back save and trade, take it from me, it may make your New Year a whole lot better. -Adrienne