The ever-looming Grexit decision has created weakness and uncertainty in the Euro and the Central Banker's have been planning just what to do next and what limited options they have. The other currencies can benefit from the decision one way or another, one alone would benefit the most the Swiss Franc (CHF). If Greece exits the Euro (EUR) Switzerland would have billions of fresh capital that would need a safe place, that it wont be denominated into Greece's new or old Lira, Peseta or Drachma. One thing is for sure, the Swiss will do whatever it takes to benefit them in the long run. The CEO of Zuercher Cantonal Bank, Martin Scholl has said "anything is possible" when asked the question if they were going to implement capital controls or lower the already negative interest rates. Capital controls limit the flow of foreign capital in a domestic economy. This flow in and out of capital affects Forex, bond, equities and overall market based forces. Control over the flow in and out of an economy can be seen as positive or negative and has been a subject of much debate. The foreign capital includes tariffs, taxes, outright legislation and volume. Many have strong opinions on just how this can affect the economy overall. Economy's open to foreign capital give large companies easier access and the overall demand for domestic stocks can rise a great deal. Some think it can limit the efficiency and economic process, tight capital controls in developing counties are common. The integration of financial markets along with other global factors have contributed to the easing of controls, yet the Swiss are saying this is a option. Central banks all over the world are blowing up with liquidity, what choice does a independent Central Bank have other than limiting their own currency's convertibility? They have an obligation to protect their country's currency from the coming currency crap-storms, and they will do whatever it takes.
The Swiss don't really have any commodities so they import them in U.S. dollars (USD) or in Euros (EUR) so they are striving to lower their currency even though they are in a healthy position with good demand for their currency. Capital controls are control of money and that just leads to control of people, the banks are feeling as though they are losing control over the money and the people. This is a big problem and the SNB will have to make some major decisions before the grexit.
The Swiss have been open with their plans and generally give a great deal when it comes to their next moves and strive in maintaining their independence. They were not so forthcoming when they ended the cap, in fact they made statements that would make people think they never would end it. Because of this many think they have lost their well established credibility. The Central Bank had stated that "The minimum exchange rate must remain" just two days before ending the CHF cap, that caused a black swan event within the market. Huge currency swings like that make trading highly problematic, and fear moves the market the most. People are veering from unstable currencies, however the CHF is a historically "safe" currency. Normally capital controls are implemented to prevent a massive outflow of capital not a inflow, in turn this would seem that the National Bank (SNB) could be worried about a collapse in the CHF or the other way around they thought that a strong currency would hurt exports.
The currency war is accelerating. Central banks, like all decision makers have a range of options. The SNB (one Friday afternoon on a bank holiday weekend) may just impose negative interest rates to a level that forces bank runs then order capital controls to lock everyone out of getting their money, highly doubtful. The discussion of imposing negative rates is a clear sign that the borrowing entity is bankrupt. The SNB has not stated that they will impose the negative interest rates or capital control. However, when you say you're not considering something at the moment, that seems to imply that you might consider it in the future. Most people in the U.S. pay with plastic not cash , in Europe more cash is used. We may soon have to bank at home , it will be the only safe place for your money. The banker cartel's worst fear is that we will take the money printing press away from them and no longer support digital and fiat.
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