Tuesday, January 6, 2015

ECB Roadside assistance, AAA cant help


ECB Roadside assistance, AAA cant help
Two European Central Bank (ECB) meetings are coming up and traders should take note.  The first is a meeting on January 7 on non-monetary policy, the other a very important meeting is on the monetary policy followed by a press release, and a maintenance period that will last until March 10 to guarantee that the appropriate funds are available for those decisions. Statements and leaks have indicated that the ECB is going to use Quantitative Easing (QE) to purchase an abundance of government bonds.  Alternatively, they would have the central banks purchase so the country or countries individually would take on the risk of amount borrowed or owed separate from the interest.  They could buy bonds that are AAA rated these have little to no risk of default.  The AAA rating is issued by credit rating agencies; these bonds have the highest creditworthiness and guarantee liability.  Only four companies were left with an AAA rating after the financial crises in 2008. It seems over and over we see failed attempts on monetary expansion and all the monetary measures have been used up. They keep trying to offset deflation by printing and borrowing while weakening currency and eroding the economy.
            The ECB declined to comment, however Peter Praet, ECB chief economist had made many indications that these options are what is being considered. The Prospect of more QE has the EUR/USD dropping searching for any support. Wall street is feeling the impact hitting the biggest fall in the last three months. Commodity currencies also felt the panic, and U.S. treasury yields fell, many found a safe haven in the USD and JPY. Between the ECB meetings and the low numbers from Germany and possible withdraw from the Euro by Greece, the Euro has a long road ahead.